The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Winner of the Wirtschaftsbuchpreis Financial Times Deutschland getAbstract 2007

Taschenbuch, Sprache: Englisch
19,60 €
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Produktdetails  
Verlag Penguin Books UK
Auflage 28.02.2008
Seiten 480
Format 12,9 x 19,8 x 2,7 cm
B-format
Gewicht 354 g
Artikeltyp Englisches Buch
ISBN-10 0141034599
EAN 9780141034591
Bestell-Nr 14103459EA

Produktbeschreibung  

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

Autorenporträt  
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